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A patient newly diagnosed with a serious ailment is told he has a 60% probability of surviving 5 or more years. Let us assume
A patient newly diagnosed with a serious ailment is told he has a 60% probability of surviving 5 or more years. Let us assume this statement is accurate. Explain the meaning of this statement to someone with no statistical background in terms he or she will understand
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This means that out of 100 people who are diagnosed with the same serious ailment, 60 people are expected to still be alive after 5 years. It also means that there is a 40% chance that the person may not survive for 5 years. It is important to remember that statistical probabilities are based on patterns and trends and cannot predict the outcome for any individual with certainty.
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